Tuesday, November 15, 2005

Sports -- Tuesday's picks

Well, yesterday a furious Dalls comeback put last week in the loss column. Although, poor money management, and second guessing caused the weeks loss.

As to the coming week, Lead-in #1 came in. So a start to this coming week

cash 290.00 loss 5.00 open 5.00

I am not really happy with the two middle games in the NFL dominant, so I am punting at the moment. Also, the Saturday England Premiership Soccer lines are out, so I am making Wigan (+ 0.5 goals) +100 an intermediate TAG.

Lead-in A
4 Team Parlay: 5/29.81

NBA 11/15/05 Washington +10 pts (bot 3 pts) -190
NBA 11/15/05 LA Clippers -240
SOC 11/16/05 Australia (pk) -164
SOC 11/19/05 Wigan (+0.5 goals) +100


Lead-in B
4 Team Parlay: 5/33.95

NBA 11/15/05 Denver/Dallas Over 198 (bot 3 pts) -180
NBA 11/15/05 Milwaukee/LA Clippers Over 202 (bot 3 pts) -180
SOC 11/16/05 Australia (pk) -164
SOC 11/19/05 Wigan (+0.5 goals) +100


Lead-in C
3 Team Parlay: 5/30.41

NHL 11/15/05 Ottawa -300
SOC 11/16/05 Australia (pk) -164
SOC 11/19/05 Wigan (+0.5 goals) +100

Round Robin (NHL)

(a) Tampa Bay/Washington Over 6.5 goals -120
(b) NY Rangers/Toronto Over 6.5 goals -120
(c) Carolina/Ottawa Over 7 goals +120

a+b+c 3/19.18
a+b 3/7.08
a+c 3/9.10
b+c 3/9.10

Monday, November 14, 2005

Sports-- Plan for Monday 11/21 TAG

Well here's the start for next week. Same $300 budget.

Lead-in #1
6 Team Parlay: 5/53.94

NBA 11/14/05 Memphis -200
NBA 11/14/05 Golden St -220
NFL 11/20/05 Carolina -145
NFL 11/20/05 San Diego -5.5pts (bot 4.5pts) -240
NFL 11/20/05 Houston +10.5pts (bot 4 pts) -215
NFL 11/21/05 Green Bay -185


Lead-in #2
6 Team Parlay: 5/53.94

NHL 11/14/05 Calgary -200
NHL 11/14/05 Colorado -220
NFL 11/20/05 Carolina -145
NFL 11/20/05 San Diego -5.5pts (bot 4.5pts) -240
NFL 11/20/05 Houston +10.5pts (bot 4 pts) -215
NFL 11/21/05 Green Bay -185

Sports -- Monday morning summary

Phew...Clevelands late touchdown got us a middle, and puts me in an almost no lose situation.

Cash 56.97 open 40.00 Loss 203.03

Where we sit. Should Dallas win I lose 5.51, Should Philadelphia win by 8 or more points I win 1.54, and should Philadelphia win by 7 points or less, I win 239.06.

I am not sure if I will do anything further, since my potential loss is directly attributable to 2 decisions this week. First, to experiment with teasers (loss 20.00), and a late change of horse on Saturday from Spain to Turkey in lead-ins 20 thru 23. This caused at least a portion of yesterday's $68 in hedges. Lets say I would have still hedged at least 35-40, so it cost 28.00.

Later today, the plan for Monday November 21.

Sunday, November 13, 2005

Sports -- Sunday Hedges

Here is my attempt to guarantee a win this week.

Hedge # 21
4 Team Parlay: 5/334.66

NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +240
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +140
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +270
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +125


Hedge # 22
4 Team Parlay: 15/254.49

NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +240
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +140
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Hedge # 23
4 Team Parlay: 15/227.97

NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +240
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +125


Hedge # 24
4 Team Parlay: 15/254.48

NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +240
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +140
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Hedge # 25
4 Team Parlay: 5/250.07

NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +240
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +140
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland + 270
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Hedge # 26
4 Team Parlay: 13/251.72

NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +140
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland + 270
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145

60 still in the till, now to see how it all works out.

Poker -- The past several weeks

My poker play has been mostly limited to micro levels at Stars. I have been playing within a $25 range, which I cannot seem to clear.

My 10+1 play at Pacific was limited last week. 2 SNG's. I reached my first 100 SNG's the previous week with very good statistics. My last 10 SNG's have been quite disturbing as to results. In all 10 I reached the bubble, yet my results were 1 2nd, 1 3rd and 8 4ths. I have lost from several suspect plays by my opponents which won, yet more disturbing is that I did not cash in at least 3 instances from rather stupid plays on my part. Sitting aside for the moment, will go back to the arena soon, because I cannot fault 10 of 10 reaching the bubble, need to tighten up my bubble play.

Sports -- Summary of where we are now

Well, one late change yesterday from Spain to Turkey in Lead-ins #20 thru 23 was a disaster. My original lean was correct, yet when Exeter went down, I chose Turkey a decent lean to take advantage of difference between Spain -300 and Turkey (pk) +144.

As it stands this morning: Cash 124.97 Open 55 Lost 121.03

Luckily I still have 124 to work with. I am set up with some great possibilities for middles, yet still some work to do to ensure profit.

Dominant: Jacksonville, Denver, Pittsburgh & Philadelphia. Should they ALL win, the pay out will be 244.57.

Should the dominant 4 ALL win and Jacksonville win by 14pts or less, the payout increases to 356.63.

Should the dominant 4 ALL win and Jacksonville win by more than 14 pts and Denver win by less than 10 pts. The payout will be 295.93.

Should the dominant 4 ALL win and Jacksonville win by 14 pts or less and Denver win by less than 10 pts. The payout will be 407.99.

Should the dominant 4 ALL win and Jacksonville win by 14 pts or less and Denver win by less than 10 pts and Pittsburgh in by 14 pts or less and Philadelphia win by 7 pts or less the BONANZA the whole enchilada. The payout will be 645.51.

Lots of potential, yet I am still on the banana peel, losses by 2 or more of the donimant 4 could lead to disaster, thus the reason the Spain/Turkey hurts so much.

I am working on a plan this morning to reduce any possible of loss for this weekend, while hoping the fates will look favorably.

I will have gameday hedges before 1:00p

Saturday, November 12, 2005

Sports -- Saturday evening picks

Here is the last for today:

Lead-in #24
6 Team Parlay: 5/51.77

NHL 11/12/05 Carolina -200
NHL 11/12/05 Calgary/Colorado Over 6 -110
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10 (bot 7 pts)
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in #25
6 Team Parlay: 5/46.36

NHL 11/12/05 Philadelphia -280
NHL 11/12/05 Calgary/Colorado Over 6 -110
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10 (bot 7 pts)
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145

If both Philadelphia & Carolina win, I will hedge the Calgary/Colorado Over bet

Sports -- Saturday Afternoon (soccer)

I am replacing Lead-ins #13, 14, 15, 16 &17 as follows:

Lead-in # 20
7 team parlay: 3/66.72

SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Turkey (pk) +144 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 pts (bot 8 pts) -440
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in # 21
7 team parlay: 3/85.23

SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Turkey (pk) +144 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 pts (bot 8 pts) -440
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7.5pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in # 22
8 team parlay: 3/68.56

SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Turkey (pk) +144 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 pts (bot 8 pts) -440
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7.5pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +7.5 pts (bot 5 pts) -270


Lead-in # 22
7 team parlay: 3/74.10

SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Turkey (pk) +144 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150


Lead-in # 23
8 team parlay: 3/71.15

SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Turkey (pk) +144 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7.5pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150

Sports -- Saturday mid-day

Not a good morning :-):

Exeter was held to a draw.

Parlays #13 thru 17 will be rebet as 7 teamers:

Lead-in # 19
8 Team Parlay: 5/110.95

COL 11/12/05 Maryland/N Carolina Under 49.5 (bot 5 pts) -260
COL 11/12/05 LSU -145
COL 11/12/05 Georgia -150
COL 11/12/05 Oregon -175
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10 pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145

Saturday -- Morning Picks

As I have to run a few errands, the Friday summary will follow mid-day.

Looking to use Soccer to fill in some gaps and put a bit of cash in the till.

Round Robin #2
1 3-teamer; 3 2-teamers
(a) Gretna -1/2 goal -110 Scotland Div 2 11/12/05
(b) Exeter -1/2 goal -104 England Conference 11/12/05
(c) Wycombe pk -103 England League 2 11/12/05

a+b+c 3/19.81
a+b 3/8.23
a+c 3/8.63
b+c 3/8.95

Lead-in # 13
8 team parlay: 3/69.08

SOC 11/12/05 Exeter -0.5 goals -104 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Spain -300 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 pts (bot 8 pts) -440
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in # 14
8 team parlay: 3/88.21

SOC 11/12/05 Exeter -0.5 goals -104 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Spain -300 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 pts (bot 8 pts) -440
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7.5pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in # 15
8 team parlay: 3/70.97

SOC 11/12/05 Exeter -0.5 goals -104 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Spain -300 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 pts (bot 8 pts) -440
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7.5pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +7.5 pts (bot 5 pts) -270


Lead-in # 16
8 team parlay: 3/76.70

SOC 11/12/05 Exeter -0.5 goals -104 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Spain -300 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150


Lead-in # 17
8 team parlay: 3/73.65

SOC 11/12/05 Exeter -0.5 goals -104 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Spain -300 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -280
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7.5pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150


Hedge # 8
4 Team Parlay: 5/28.81

SOC 11/12/05 Altrincham +0.5 goals -112 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Czech Rep pk -149 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Spain -300 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual


Parlay #1
3 Team Parlay: 3/33.43

SOC 11/12/05 Exeter -0.5 goals -104 England Conference
SOC 11/12/05 Turkey pk +144 FIFA World Cup Qual
SOC 11/12/05 Uruguay -165 FIFA World Cup Qual

More later.

Friday, November 11, 2005

Sports -- Friday remaining picks

Two remaining picks for today...2 hedges for Hedge #3

Hedge # 6
8 Team Parlay: 5/147.32

NHL 11/11/05 Florida +1.5 goals -260
NHL 11/12/05 Washington/NJ Devils Over 6.5 goals -110
NHL 11/12/05 Philadelphia -260
NHL 11/12/05 Colorado/Calgary Over 6 goals -110
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 (bot 8 pts)
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Hedge # 7
5 Team Parlay: 5/46.68
NHL 11/11/05 Florida +1.5 goals -260
NHL 11/12/05 Washington/NJ Devils Over 6.5 goals -110
NHL 11/12/05 Philadelphia -260
NHL 11/12/05 Colorado/Calgary Over 6 goals -110
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 (bot 8 pts)

Sports -- Friday early picks

Here we go:

Lead-in # 9
7 Team Parlay: 5/63.24

NHL 11/11/05 NJ Devils -135
NHL 11/11/05 Detroit -280
NBA 11/11/05 Denver +5 pts (bot 3 pts) -190
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville - 270
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10 pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150


Lead-in # 10
7 Team Parlay: 5/108.40

NHL 11/11/05 NJ Devils/Washington Over 6.5 goals -115
NHL 11/11/05 Detroit/Minnesota Over 6 goals -130
NBA 11/11/05 Denver +5 pts (bot 3 pts) -190
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville - 270
NFL 11/13/05 Oakland +10 pts (bot 7 pts) -375
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150


Lead-in # 11
6 Team Parlay: 5/35.62

NBA 11/11/05 Indiana -270
NBA 11/11/05 Denver +5 pts (bot 3 pts) -190
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville - 270
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 (bot 7.5 pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +7.5 (bot 5 pts) -270


Lead-in # 12
6 Team Parlay: 5/42.00

NBA 11/11/05 Memphis/Cleveland Over 191 (bot 3 pts) -180
NBA 11/11/05 Denver/Sacramento Over 201 (bot 3 pts) -180
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville - 270
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 (bot 7.5 pts) -395
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +7.5 (bot 5 pts) -270

More later

Sports -- Thursday Summary

Well, mixed bag. More hedging parlays through to Sunday/Monday NFL.

The 2 open NHL parlays with Ottawa are through.

the 2 NBA parlays last night are also through.

Hedge # 3 is open with tonights NHL Carolina game remaining.

Hedges 2, 4 and 5 all went down.

Remaining open hedge of Teasers also went down.

Budget Summary:

cash 184.10 open 50 lost 65.90.

Thursday Late Hedges

2 Quick flat bet hedges in NBA

Hedge #5
Flat: 10/9.09

Detroit/Phoenix Under 98.5 (2nd Half)

Hedge #6
Flat 10/9.09

Phoenix +2 (2nd Half)

Thursday, November 10, 2005

Thursday Hedges

So far so good this evening.

First Ottawa won 5-2, so the Dallas TAG hedge is through to Sunday. Hedge #2 went down as Boston lost by 3.

Piladelphia also won, so I have decided to hedge the Vancouver/Colorado game:

Hedge #3
6 Team Parlay: 10/102.06

NHL 11/10/05 Colorado +1.5 goals -220
NHL 11/11/05 Carolina -140
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 (bot 8 points)
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -150

In the NBA the LA Clippers brought in the early Level 1 of the leadin's #7 & #8. One unfortunate thing on the Total in the Detroit/Phoenix game is that the line dropped 3.5 points so after placing the parlays mid-day. I bot 3 points earlier today, and the current line is lower than my adjusted line. Oh well. I will take a look at halftime to see if there is any possibility to hedge. The only likely hedge is if the 1st half total is over 105-110 points. Then I would be looking for both a middle as well as hedge.

I may not post that hedge since halftime will be very late.

Thursday's Plays

To add some semblance to follow the lead-ins, particularly if the lead-ins cover more than one day, I will number them sequentially for the week, starting from yesterday:

Lead-in #5
6 Team Parlay: 5/44.80

NHL 11/10/05 Philadelphia -320
NHL 11/10/05 Vancouver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 (bot 7 points)
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -145
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in #6
6 Team Parlay: 5/56.70

NHL 11/10/05 Ottawa -160
NHL 11/10/05 Vancouver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Baltimore +14.5 (bot 7 points)
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -145
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145

Lead-in #7
6 Team Parlay: 5/54.32

NBA 11/10/05 LA Clippers/Atlanta Over 183 (bot 3 points) -180
NBA 11/10/05 Detroit/Phoenix Over 199 (bot 3 points) -180
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -270
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -145
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7 points)
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Lead-in #8
6 Team Parlay: 5/65.80

NBA 11/10/05 LA Clippers -170
NBA 11/10/05 Detroit -125
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -270
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -145
NFL 11/13/05 Cleveland +14.5 pts (bot 7 points)
NFL 11/14/05 Philadelphia -145


Hedge #2
6 Team Parlay: 10/93.36

NHL 11/10/05 Boston +1.5 goals -200
NHL 11/10/05 Vancouver -150
NFL 11/13/05 Jacksonville -270
NFL 11/13/05 Denver -145
NFL 11/13/05 Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14/05 Dallas +7.5 (bot 5 pts)

A couple of things you might have noticed. I am laying hedges to the dominant through these lead-ins. The KEY game today is the Ottawa/Boston NHL game. Should Ottawa win I will have The TAG partially hedged with Dallas +7.5 for 97.40 return.

Should Ottawa win by one goal, I will have caught a middle on my hedge Boston +1.5 goals and will surely be looking to hedge the Vancouver game with Colorado +1.5 goals.

I will go over in today's summary what other hedges may have been achieved by these plays.

Sports -- Wednesday Summary

Well, not bad, surely not wonderful.

The 2 NBA Lead-ins split 1-1. Dallas going down, San Antonio and Portland winning. I DID NOT hedge on the Knicks, because when I looked at the line 9:00ish to hedge with the Knicks and buy a few points, the line had moved from the Knicks +1.5 to Knicks -2. So I decided to wait until half-time to see if I could get a better hedge, With the Knicks with a good lead taking the Knicks -2 was not attractive. I figured to save a couple of bucks and resign myself to a loss. Wake up this morning, checked the score and surprise of surprises Portland came back to win comfortably.

The 2 NHL lead-ins are through level one and now depend on todays Ottawa game to put a nice hedge on Mondays TAG in place.

NHL Round Robin went 2-1. Took a loss of 2.90. That loss was totally attributable to my taking a 3-team parlay as well as the 3 2-teamers.

Lastly, the 2 holdover Teasers went down when the WVa/Cincinati went under 40.5, WVa 38- Cincinnati 0. The hedge is still open.

Summary: cash 244.1, open 35, loss 20.10

Now to the beauty of using Lead-in bets to establish the dominant parlay.

So at present I have parlays open with ONLY the dominant NFL games remaining, which should my leans prove correct will return 224.57. At a cost of 25.00. If I took 25 and just established the 4 team parlay the potential return would be 102.45. Thus by using lead-in parlays, I have done with 25 what would have cost 60+ straight up.

Wednesday, November 09, 2005

Sports--The Plan For Monday (11/14) TAG

For those who might not know, the TAG is the last game in the parlay string. It is a game I hope my lean is correct, yet by hedging and criss crosses it is a place to insure either a minimum loss, or ensure maximum profit.

The Plan for this week includes a budget of $300. The goal is to build a foundation throughout the week to invest the least amount possible to achieve a positive result.

First, I will be looking to build a foundation, which is my 4 team Time zoned NFL parlay:
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140

I am looking to achieve, through lead-in parlays (lead-ins are 1,2 or 3 games which are added to the 4 teams listed above to reduce initial risk/cost) to put the foundation in place, with a reward of $300.00

Once the foundation, the next step is to begin hedging the TAG (Philadelphia -140). This means substituting Philadelphia -130 with Dallas (+7.5).

Since I did not post these picks BEFORE the games, and I will not publish confirmation of their validity, you will have to take on faith they are as I represent them. In future, I will do my best to post before game time.

Lead-in #1
6 team parlay: 5/52.50

NBA LA Lakers -220 Result: Lakers 103- Atlanta 97
NBA Detroit -145 Result: Detroit 102 - Sacramento 88
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending

I also took a hedge at halftime of the Detroit/Sacramento game

Hedge #1
5 team parlay: 3/22.14

Sacramento -145 to win 2nd half Result: This hedge lost 44-51

Lost $3


Lead-in #2
6 team parlay: 5/51.37

NBA LA Lakers -220 Result: Lakers 103- Atlanta 97
NBA Detroit -145 Result: Detroit 102 - Sacramento 88
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending


Lead-in #2
6 team parlay: 5/52.50

NHL Philadelphia -180 Result: Philadelphia 4- Boston 3
NHL Colorado -175 Result: Colorado 5 - San Jose 2
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending


Lead-in #3
6 team parlay: 5/66.02

NHL Washington/Toronto (Over 6.5 goals) -110 Result: Toronto 6 - Washington 4
NHL Colorado/San Jose (Over 6 goals) -110 Result: Colorado 5 - San Jose 2
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending

SUMMARY for Tuesday:

Risked 15 for 169 reward. I now have more than 50% of my 300 in place.

Loss $3 in hedge

I am also expermenting with College and NFL Teasers (a teaser is a wager with a reduced payoff)

Dominant:
8 Team Teaser: 5/75.00

COL 11/08 So Mis/Marshall (Over 41) Result: So. Miss 27 Marshall 24
COL 11/09 W VA/Cincinnati (Over 40.5)...pending
COL 11/10 Boise ST/Fresno ST (Over 57.5)...pending
COL 11/11 Rutgers/Louisville (Over 58)...pending
COL 11/12 Maryland/ No Carolina (Under 52.5)...pending
COL 11/12 Texas/Kansas (Over 50)...pending
COL 11/12 NC ST/Boston Col (Over 34.5)...pending
COL 11/12 Oregon/Wash ST (Over 56)...pending


Hedge #1:
8 Team Teaser: 5/75.00

COL 11/08 So Mis/Marshall (Under 53) Result: So. Miss 27 Marshall 24
COL 11/09 W VA/Cincinnati (Over 40.5)...pending
COL 11/10 Boise ST/Fresno ST (Over 57.5)...pending
COL 11/11 Rutgers/Louisville (Over 58)...pending
NFL 11/13 KC/Buffalo (Over 35.5)...pending
NFL 11/13 Denver/Oakland (Over 39.5)...pending
NFL 11/13 Cleve/Pittsburgh (Over 27.5)...pending
NFL 11/14 Dallas/Philadelphia (Over 33)...pending

Well good fortune shined everywhere on Tuesday, caught a middle so both teasers are open.

At the end of the Day.

Cash left in budget 272, lost 3, pending 25

Plan the play...Play the Plan

Sports -- Wednesdays Plays

Had a lot of business and family issues the past 2 weeks:

Will be posting daily picks and method of play. I will be filling in the weeks start on Tuesday (11/08) a bit later tonight. Including this weeks plan through Monday.

Lead-in #1
6 team Parlay: 5/54.68

NBA 11/09 7:35pm San Antonio -320
NBA 11/09 10:05pm Portland - 120
NFL 11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300
NFL 11/13 4:00pm Denver -145
NFL 11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140


Lead-in #2
6 team Parlay: 5/65.04

NBA 11/09 7:05pm Dallas -185
NBA 11/09 10:05pm Portland - 120
NFL 11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300
NFL 11/13 4:00pm Denver -145
NFL 11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140


Lead-in #3
6 team Parlay: 5/53.55

NHL 11/09 7:05pm Carolina -130
NHL 11/10 7:05pm Ottawa -155
NFL 11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300
NFL 11/13 4:00pm Denver -145
NFL 11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14 9:00pm Dallas (+7.5) -270


Lead-in #4
6 team Parlay: 5/53.55

NHL 11/09 7:35pm Detroit -210
NHL 11/10 7:05pm Ottawa -155
NFL 11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300
NFL 11/13 4:00pm Denver -145
NFL 11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330
NFL 11/14 9:00pm Dallas (+7.5) -270


NHL Round Robin 11/09
(a) Carolina -130
(b) Columbus -140
(c) Pittsbutgh/Atlanta (Over 7) -140

a+b+c 3/12.60
a+b 3/6.10
a+c 3/6.10
b+c 3/5.82

8-team FB Teaser (hedge) 7 teamer 5/40

Col 11/09 W Va/Cincannati U 53.5
Col 11/10 Boise St/Fresno ST O 56.5
Col 11/11 Rutgers/Louisville O 57
NFL 11/13 KC/Buffalo O 35.5
NFL 11/13 Denver/ Oakland O 39.5
NFL 11/13 Cleveland/Pittsburgh O 27.5
NFL 11/14 Dallas/Philadelphia O 33


Depending on the results of the 1st level result in Lead-in #1 & #2, I could be hedging the Portland game. Will update.