For those who might not know, the TAG is the last game in the parlay string. It is a game I hope my lean is correct, yet by hedging and criss crosses it is a place to insure either a minimum loss, or ensure maximum profit.
The Plan for this week includes a budget of $300. The goal is to build a foundation throughout the week to invest the least amount possible to achieve a positive result.
First, I will be looking to build a foundation, which is my 4 team Time zoned NFL parlay:
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140
I am looking to achieve, through lead-in parlays (lead-ins are 1,2 or 3 games which are added to the 4 teams listed above to reduce initial risk/cost) to put the foundation in place, with a reward of $300.00
Once the foundation, the next step is to begin hedging the TAG (Philadelphia -140). This means substituting Philadelphia -130 with Dallas (+7.5).
Since I did not post these picks BEFORE the games, and I will not publish confirmation of their validity, you will have to take on faith they are as I represent them. In future, I will do my best to post before game time.
Lead-in #1
6 team parlay: 5/52.50
NBA LA Lakers -220 Result: Lakers 103- Atlanta 97
NBA Detroit -145 Result: Detroit 102 - Sacramento 88
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending
I also took a hedge at halftime of the Detroit/Sacramento game
Hedge #1
5 team parlay: 3/22.14
Sacramento -145 to win 2nd half Result: This hedge lost 44-51
Lost $3Lead-in #2
6 team parlay: 5/51.37
NBA LA Lakers -220 Result: Lakers 103- Atlanta 97
NBA Detroit -145 Result: Detroit 102 - Sacramento 88
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending
Lead-in #2
6 team parlay: 5/52.50
NHL Philadelphia -180 Result: Philadelphia 4- Boston 3NHL Colorado -175 Result: Colorado 5 - San Jose 2
11/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending
Lead-in #3
6 team parlay: 5/66.02
NHL Washington/Toronto (Over 6.5 goals) -110 Result: Toronto 6 - Washington 4NHL Colorado/San Jose (Over 6 goals) -110 Result: Colorado 5 - San Jose 211/13 1:00pm Jacksonville -300 ...pending
11/13 4:05pm Denver -145...pending
11/13 8:30pm Pittsburgh -330...pending
11/14 9:00pm Philadelphia -140...pending
SUMMARY for Tuesday:
Risked 15 for 169 reward. I now have more than 50% of my 300 in place.
Loss $3 in hedge
I am also expermenting with College and NFL Teasers (a teaser is a wager with a reduced payoff)
Dominant:
8 Team Teaser: 5/75.00
COL 11/08 So Mis/Marshall (Over 41) Result: So. Miss 27 Marshall 24COL 11/09 W VA/Cincinnati (Over 40.5)...pending
COL 11/10 Boise ST/Fresno ST (Over 57.5)...pending
COL 11/11 Rutgers/Louisville (Over 58)...pending
COL 11/12 Maryland/ No Carolina (Under 52.5)...pending
COL 11/12 Texas/Kansas (Over 50)...pending
COL 11/12 NC ST/Boston Col (Over 34.5)...pending
COL 11/12 Oregon/Wash ST (Over 56)...pending
Hedge #1:
8 Team Teaser: 5/75.00
COL 11/08 So Mis/Marshall (Under 53) Result: So. Miss 27 Marshall 24COL 11/09 W VA/Cincinnati (Over 40.5)...pending
COL 11/10 Boise ST/Fresno ST (Over 57.5)...pending
COL 11/11 Rutgers/Louisville (Over 58)...pending
NFL 11/13 KC/Buffalo (Over 35.5)...pending
NFL 11/13 Denver/Oakland (Over 39.5)...pending
NFL 11/13 Cleve/Pittsburgh (Over 27.5)...pending
NFL 11/14 Dallas/Philadelphia (Over 33)...pending
Well good fortune shined everywhere on Tuesday, caught a middle so both teasers are open.
At the end of the Day.
Cash left in budget 272,
lost 3,
pending 25Plan the play...Play the Plan